Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.274007 1.526774 1.834162 2.241277 2.775222 3.464671 4.444494
2024-12-29 0.941342 1.245257 1.668888 2.326252 3.368047 5.049264 8.198426
2025-01-05 0.746620 1.054621 1.525995 2.346943 3.856166 6.805265 14.023662
2025-01-12 0.609297 0.900635 1.377003 2.280706 4.147108 8.434775 21.960212
2025-01-19 0.518549 0.794614 1.270766 2.240971 4.459685 10.390328 34.796468
2025-01-26 0.476804 0.758694 1.273275 2.407414 5.323759 14.724901 71.158361
2025-02-02 0.437639 0.718390 1.255883 2.523927 6.151400 20.209349 151.520314
2025-02-09 0.394789 0.663170 1.195667 2.519543 6.644981 25.386124 303.098712
2025-02-16 0.354370 0.605931 1.119101 2.449092 6.894643 30.094328 591.287306
2025-02-23 0.329213 0.574511 1.091273 2.498096 7.621414 39.674712 1821.557915
2025-03-02 0.310971 0.554076 1.083488 2.601378 8.672690 55.796513 12200.973392
2025-03-09 0.290021 0.525058 1.050217 2.618838 9.394215 73.139430 294696.621588
2025-03-16 0.264967 0.484940 0.985171 2.522532 9.538363 86.061293 NaN
2025-03-23 0.252405 0.470237 0.980193 2.624138 10.875487 129.865189 NaN
2025-03-30 0.237710 0.448987 0.954917 2.648939 11.844891 183.251578 NaN
2025-04-06 0.220549 0.420272 0.905586 2.571518 12.105835 226.880475 NaN
2025-04-13 0.206443 0.397043 0.867366 2.525078 12.573443 295.652989 NaN
2025-04-20 0.202108 0.395813 0.888548 2.720018 15.235708 621.199792 NaN
2025-04-27 0.195890 0.389395 0.894185 2.856884 17.777417 1332.380317 NaN
2025-05-04 0.186035 0.373179 0.868996 2.851728 19.000740 2303.716015 NaN
2025-05-11 0.174982 0.353028 0.829395 2.768942 19.297480 3377.425451 NaN
2025-05-18 0.168461 0.343442 0.820096 2.826514 21.461071 8883.795073 NaN
2025-05-25 0.163866 0.338191 0.823230 2.948041 24.917848 51837.478174 NaN